Thursday, October 20, 2016

Statistics Herald Triumph of the Trumpening


As heterodox and right as our next president, the model used here "flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there" — SUNY professor says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls 'bunk'.

Professor Helmut Norpoth, whose name alone should earn him a place in the Trump Administration, explains how his model, which "correctly predicted the victor in every presidential election since 1996" and "on earlier campaigns comes up with the correct outcome for every race since 1912, except the 1960 election," works — You can't trust polls: Clinton leads, but our polling methods are bunk.

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